Week 5 · College Football
Louisville vs NC State prediction
The TailgateNinjas model gives NC State a 51% chance to beat Louisville in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.
#39 Atlantic Coast Conference
Louisville
13% to make the 12
#51 Atlantic Coast Conference
NC State
11% to make the 12
The model's read
A coin flip. The model nudges NC State by a field goal — 51% to win.
Louisville
49%
to win
NC State
51%
to win
Who wins?
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Think you know better?
Pick this game against the spread
Tale of the tape
2025 efficiency · ranksLouisvilleNC StateNational ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.
Series history
13 meetings all-timeLouisville leads 9–4
Last met 2023 · NC State 10–13 Louisville— Louisville won
Both sidelines
via Google NewsWhat Louisville is hearing
What NC State is hearing
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