Week 4 · College Football

Air Force vs Nevada prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Air Force a 61% chance to beat Nevada in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#108 Mountain West Conference

Air Force

1% to make the 12

@

#127 Mountain West Conference

Nevada

0% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadAir Force −4.5Model
Projected scoreAir Force 28 — Nevada 24

Air Force is the pick by 4.5, but it's live — 61% on the model.

Chaos meter77 · LIVE
77/ 100
CalmMayhem

Air Force

61%

to win

Nevada

39%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Air Force
vs
Nevada
#20Offense · EPA/play#127
#136Defense · EPA/play#91
#98Explosiveness#91
#14Success rate#120
63%Returning production66%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

8 meetings all-time

Air Force leads 6–2

Last met 2024 · Nevada 19–22 Air Force— Air Force won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Air Force is hearing

What Nevada is hearing

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