Week 8 · College Football

San José St vs Nevada prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Nevada a 51% chance to beat San José St in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#118 Mountain West Conference

San José St

0% to make the 12

@

#127 Mountain West Conference

Nevada

0% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadNevada −0.5Model
Projected scoreSan José St 26 — Nevada 26

A coin flip. The model nudges Nevada by a field goal — 51% to win.

Chaos meter97 · TOSS-UP
97/ 100
CalmMayhem

San José St

49%

to win

Nevada

51%

to win

Who wins?

Be the first

Tap a team to call it — then see if the crowd agrees with the model.

Think you know better?

Pick this game against the spread

Make your pick →

Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
San José St
vs
Nevada
#65Offense · EPA/play#127
#105Defense · EPA/play#91
#62Explosiveness#91
#57Success rate#120
59%Returning production66%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Both sidelines

via Google News

What San José St is hearing

What Nevada is hearing

Get The Drop

One email on Tuesdays: the week's biggest swings, and a straight accounting of the calls we missed.

No spam, no selling your address. One click to leave.