#118 Mountain West Conference
San José St
Projected 6–7 · 6 proj. wins
Call the season
How many games does San José St win? The Ninjas project 6.
Tap a number to call it — then see how you stack up against the Ninjas.
Playoff
<1%
Title
<1%
Win conf
9%
SOS
#91
Schedule & outlook
Full schedule + record projection →- W1@ E Michigan37%
- W1@ USC2%
- W2vs Cal Poly82%
- W3vs Fresno State24%
- W5@ Hawai'i24%
- W6vs Wyoming56%
- W7@ UTEP59%
- W8@ Nevada50%
- W9vs New Mexico35%
- W10vs N Illinois73%
- W11@ Air Force31%
- W12vs UNLV28%
- W13vs North Dakota State82%
Path to the playoff
Playoff odds →- LOCKWin out → in the field, no committee debate.
- RISKLose to USC → the margin for error vanishes.
- CHAOSRun the table + upsets → the only way the door opens.
Full odds
- Make the 12
- <1%
- 16-team field
- <1%
- 24-team field
- 1%
- Win conference
- 9%
- National title
- <1%
Our playoff odds call · month by month
▲0Last season
2025 · via CFBDWhere San José St finished a year ago — the foundation the 2026 outlook is built on.
SP+ rating
#118
-14.3 · off #108 / def #115
Talent composite
#109
247 blue-chip composite
Recruiting class
#117
2025 signing class
Returning prod.
59%
of offensive production
Efficiency
2025 · national rank- EPA / play#65
- Success rate#57
- Explosiveness#62
- EPA / play#105
- Success rate#83
The big number is opponent-adjusted SP+ offense/defense; the splits underneath are per-play efficiency — the same signals that feed the 2026 model. Lower rank is better.
Offseason moves
2026 portal · via CFBDPortal in
17
3★ avg
Portal out
16
3★ avg
Net
+1
in − out
Scholarship players in and out of the transfer portal for 2026, with average recruiting stars — a quick read on whether the roster got deeper or thinner. Star quality matters as much as the count.
Rooting guide
Beyond San José St's own games, here's who to scoreboard-watch — the teams chasing the same playoff spots.
Win the MOUNTAIN WEST
The rivals between you and the league's bids — root against them.
Rivalries
The all-time series against the teams San José St keeps playing.
The buzz
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Board strength 37 of 100 · polls say 37, our model says 37 · Updated Aug 17, 2026 · how this is built