Week 10 · College Football

Liberty vs New Mexico St prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Liberty a 69% chance to beat New Mexico St in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#77 Conference USA

Liberty

1% to make the 12

@

#124 Conference USA

New Mexico St

0% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadLiberty −7.5Model
Projected scoreLiberty 30 — New Mexico St 22

Liberty is the pick by 7.5, but it's live — 69% on the model.

Chaos meter63 · LIVE
63/ 100
CalmMayhem

Liberty

69%

to win

New Mexico St

31%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Liberty
vs
New Mexico St
#68Offense · EPA/play#128
#106Defense · EPA/play#41
#92Explosiveness#58
#52Success rate#124
100%Returning production56%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Liberty is hearing

What New Mexico St is hearing

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