Week 5 · College Football

Western Kentucky vs New Mexico St prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Western Kentucky a 61% chance to beat New Mexico St in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#84 Conference USA

Western Kentucky

0% to make the 12

@

#124 Conference USA

New Mexico St

0% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadWestern Kentucky −4.5Model
Projected scoreWestern Kentucky 28 — New Mexico St 24

Western Kentucky is the pick by 4.5, but it's live — 61% on the model.

Chaos meter77 · LIVE
77/ 100
CalmMayhem

Western Kentucky

61%

to win

New Mexico St

39%

to win

Who wins?

Be the first

Tap a team to call it — then see if the crowd agrees with the model.

Think you know better?

Pick this game against the spread

Make your pick →

Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Western Kentucky
vs
New Mexico St
#70Offense · EPA/play#128
#39Defense · EPA/play#41
#95Explosiveness#58
#53Success rate#124
33%Returning production56%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Western Kentucky is hearing

What New Mexico St is hearing

Get The Drop

One email on Tuesdays: the week's biggest swings, and a straight accounting of the calls we missed.

No spam, no selling your address. One click to leave.