Week 1 · NFL

New England Patriots vs Seattle Seahawks prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Seattle Seahawks a 60% chance to beat New England Patriots in this NFL matchup. Updated August 4, 2026.

#15 AFC East

New England Patriots

63% to make the playoffs

@

#3 NFC West

Seattle Seahawks

77% to make the playoffs

The model's read

SpreadSeattle Seahawks −3.5Vegas
Projected scoreNew England Patriots 20 — Seattle Seahawks 24

A coin flip. The model nudges Seattle Seahawks by a field goal — 60% to win.

Chaos meter80 · TOSS-UP
80/ 100
CalmMayhem

New England Patriots

40%

to win

Seattle Seahawks

60%

to win

Who wins?

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
New England Patriots
vs
Seattle Seahawks
#1Offense · EPA/play#13
#11Defense · EPA/play#2
#3Success rate#7

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

8 meetings since 1999

Seattle Seahawks leads 5–3

Last met 2025 · New England Patriots 13–29 Seattle Seahawks (neutral)— Seattle Seahawks won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What New England Patriots is hearing

What Seattle Seahawks is hearing

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