Week 3 · NFL
The TailgateNinjas model gives Detroit Lions a 76% chance to beat New York Jets in this NFL matchup. Updated August 4, 2026.

#30 AFC East
New York Jets
4% to make the playoffs

#9 NFC North
Detroit Lions
69% to make the playoffs
Detroit Lions should handle it: 9.5-point edge, 76% to win.
New York Jets
24%
to win
Detroit Lions
76%
to win
Tap a team to call it — then see if the crowd agrees with the model.
Think you know better?
Pick this game against the spread
National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.
New York Jets leads 4–3
Last met 2022 · New York Jets 17–20 Detroit Lions— Detroit Lions won
What New York Jets is hearing
What Detroit Lions is hearing
One email on Tuesdays: the week's biggest swings, and a straight accounting of the calls we missed.
No spam, no selling your address. One click to leave.
What New York Jets is hearing
What Detroit Lions is hearing