Week 4 · NFL · Neutral site
Indianapolis Colts vs Washington Commanders prediction
The TailgateNinjas model gives Washington Commanders a 54% chance to beat Indianapolis Colts in this NFL matchup. Updated August 4, 2026.
#24 AFC South
Indianapolis Colts
23% to make the playoffs
#21 NFC East
Washington Commanders
15% to make the playoffs
The model's read
A coin flip. The model nudges Washington Commanders by a field goal — 54% to win.
Indianapolis Colts
46%
to win
Washington Commanders
54%
to win
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Tale of the tape
2025 efficiency · ranksIndianapolis ColtsWashington CommandersNational ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.
Series history
7 meetings since 1999Indianapolis Colts leads 5–2
Last met 2022 · Indianapolis Colts 16–17 Washington Commanders— Washington Commanders won
Both sidelines
via Google NewsWhat Indianapolis Colts is hearing
What Washington Commanders is hearing
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