Week 5 · NFL

Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Green Bay Packers a 60% chance to beat Chicago Bears in this NFL matchup. Updated August 4, 2026.

#12 NFC North

Chicago Bears

47% to make the playoffs

#4 NFC North

Green Bay Packers

71% to make the playoffs

The model's read

SpreadGreen Bay Packers −3.5Vegas

Projected scoreChicago Bears 20 — Green Bay Packers 24

A coin flip. The model nudges Green Bay Packers by a field goal — 60% to win.

Chaos meter80 · TOSS-UP

80/ 100

CalmMayhem

Chicago Bears

40%

to win

Green Bay Packers

60%

to win

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2025 efficiency · ranks

Chicago Bears

Green Bay Packers

#8Offense · EPA/play#4

#19Defense · EPA/play#22

#9Success rate#5

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

56 meetings since 1999

Green Bay Packers leads 40–16

Last met 2025 · Chicago Bears 31–27 Green Bay Packers— Chicago Bears won

via Google News

What Chicago Bears is hearing

What Green Bay Packers is hearing

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