Week 5 · NFL

Minnesota Vikings vs New Orleans Saints prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Minnesota Vikings a 54% chance to beat New Orleans Saints in this NFL matchup. Updated August 4, 2026.

#19 NFC North

Minnesota Vikings

27% to make the playoffs

@

#25 NFC South

New Orleans Saints

22% to make the playoffs

The model's read

SpreadMinnesota Vikings −1.5Vegas
Projected scoreMinnesota Vikings 23 — New Orleans Saints 21

A coin flip. The model nudges Minnesota Vikings by a field goal — 54% to win.

Chaos meter91 · TOSS-UP
91/ 100
CalmMayhem

Minnesota Vikings

54%

to win

New Orleans Saints

46%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Minnesota Vikings
vs
New Orleans Saints
#28Offense · EPA/play#27
#4Defense · EPA/play#10
#23Success rate#26

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

17 meetings since 1999

Minnesota Vikings leads 10–7

Last met 2023 · Minnesota Vikings 27–19 New Orleans Saints— Minnesota Vikings won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Minnesota Vikings is hearing

What New Orleans Saints is hearing

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