Week 6 · NFL

New York Jets vs New England Patriots prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives New England Patriots a 76% chance to beat New York Jets in this NFL matchup. Updated August 4, 2026.

#30 AFC East

New York Jets

4% to make the playoffs

@

#15 AFC East

New England Patriots

63% to make the playoffs

The model's read

SpreadNew England Patriots −9.5Vegas
Projected scoreNew York Jets 17 — New England Patriots 27

New England Patriots should handle it: 9.5-point edge, 76% to win.

Chaos meter48 · LEAN
48/ 100
CalmMayhem

New York Jets

24%

to win

New England Patriots

76%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
New York Jets
vs
New England Patriots
#29Offense · EPA/play#1
#31Defense · EPA/play#11
#29Success rate#3

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

56 meetings since 1999

New England Patriots leads 42–14

Last met 2025 · New York Jets 10–42 New England Patriots— New England Patriots won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What New York Jets is hearing

What New England Patriots is hearing

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