Week 7 · NFL

Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Detroit Lions a 54% chance to beat Green Bay Packers in this NFL matchup. Updated August 4, 2026.

#4 NFC North

Green Bay Packers

71% to make the playoffs

@

#9 NFC North

Detroit Lions

69% to make the playoffs

The model's read

SpreadDetroit Lions −1.5Model
Projected scoreGreen Bay Packers 21Detroit Lions 23

A coin flip. The model nudges Detroit Lions by a field goal — 54% to win.

Chaos meter91 · TOSS-UP
91/ 100
CalmMayhem

Green Bay Packers

46%

to win

Detroit Lions

54%

to win

Who wins?

Be the first

Tap a team to call it — then see if the crowd agrees with the model.

Think you know better?

Pick this game against the spread

Make your pick →

Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Green Bay Packers
vs
Detroit Lions
#4Offense · EPA/play#7
#22Defense · EPA/play#14
#5Success rate#12

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

54 meetings since 1999

Green Bay Packers leads 36–18

Last met 2025 · Detroit Lions 2431 Green Bay PackersGreen Bay Packers won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Green Bay Packers is hearing

What Detroit Lions is hearing

Get The Drop

One email on Tuesdays: the week's biggest swings, and a straight accounting of the calls we missed.

No spam, no selling your address. One click to leave.