Week 8 · NFL

New England Patriots vs Miami Dolphins prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives New England Patriots a 74% chance to beat Miami Dolphins in this NFL matchup. Updated August 4, 2026.

#15 AFC East

New England Patriots

63% to make the playoffs

@

#32 AFC East

Miami Dolphins

1% to make the playoffs

The model's read

SpreadNew England Patriots −8.5Model
Projected scoreNew England Patriots 26 — Miami Dolphins 18

New England Patriots is the pick by 8.5, but it's live — 74% on the model.

Chaos meter53 · LIVE
53/ 100
CalmMayhem

New England Patriots

74%

to win

Miami Dolphins

26%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
New England Patriots
vs
Miami Dolphins
#1Offense · EPA/play#22
#11Defense · EPA/play#26
#3Success rate#27

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

54 meetings since 1999

New England Patriots leads 29–25

Last met 2025 · New England Patriots 38–10 Miami Dolphins— New England Patriots won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What New England Patriots is hearing

What Miami Dolphins is hearing

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