Week 9 · NFL

Buffalo Bills vs Minnesota Vikings prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Buffalo Bills a 57% chance to beat Minnesota Vikings in this NFL matchup. Updated August 4, 2026.

#5 AFC East

Buffalo Bills

85% to make the playoffs

@

#19 NFC North

Minnesota Vikings

27% to make the playoffs

The model's read

SpreadBuffalo Bills −2.5Model
Projected scoreBuffalo Bills 23Minnesota Vikings 21

A coin flip. The model nudges Buffalo Bills by a field goal — 57% to win.

Chaos meter85 · TOSS-UP
85/ 100
CalmMayhem

Buffalo Bills

57%

to win

Minnesota Vikings

43%

to win

Who wins?

Be the first

Tap a team to call it — then see if the crowd agrees with the model.

Think you know better?

Pick this game against the spread

Make your pick →

Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Buffalo Bills
vs
Minnesota Vikings
#3Offense · EPA/play#28
#13Defense · EPA/play#4
#2Success rate#23

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

7 meetings since 1999

Buffalo Bills leads 4–3

Last met 2022 · Buffalo Bills 3033 Minnesota VikingsMinnesota Vikings won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Buffalo Bills is hearing

What Minnesota Vikings is hearing

Get The Drop

One email on Tuesdays: the week's biggest swings, and a straight accounting of the calls we missed.

No spam, no selling your address. One click to leave.