Week 9 · NFL

Detroit Lions vs Miami Dolphins prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Detroit Lions a 76% chance to beat Miami Dolphins in this NFL matchup. Updated August 4, 2026.

#9 NFC North

Detroit Lions

69% to make the playoffs

@

#32 AFC East

Miami Dolphins

1% to make the playoffs

The model's read

SpreadDetroit Lions −9.5Model
Projected scoreDetroit Lions 27 — Miami Dolphins 17

Detroit Lions should handle it: 9.5-point edge, 76% to win.

Chaos meter48 · LEAN
48/ 100
CalmMayhem

Detroit Lions

76%

to win

Miami Dolphins

24%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Detroit Lions
vs
Miami Dolphins
#7Offense · EPA/play#22
#14Defense · EPA/play#26
#12Success rate#27

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

7 meetings since 1999

Miami Dolphins leads 4–3

Last met 2022 · Detroit Lions 27–31 Miami Dolphins— Miami Dolphins won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Detroit Lions is hearing

What Miami Dolphins is hearing

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