Week 12 · NFL
The TailgateNinjas model gives Washington Commanders a 63% chance to beat Arizona Cardinals in this NFL matchup. Updated August 4, 2026.

#21 NFC East
Washington Commanders
15% to make the playoffs

#31 NFC West
Arizona Cardinals
0% to make the playoffs
Washington Commanders is the pick by 4.5, but it's live — 63% on the model.
Washington Commanders
63%
to win
Arizona Cardinals
37%
to win
Tap a team to call it — then see if the crowd agrees with the model.
Think you know better?
Pick this game against the spread
National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.
Washington Commanders leads 14–4
Last met 2024 · Arizona Cardinals 14–42 Washington Commanders— Washington Commanders won
What Washington Commanders is hearing
What Arizona Cardinals is hearing
One email on Tuesdays: the week's biggest swings, and a straight accounting of the calls we missed.
No spam, no selling your address. One click to leave.
What Washington Commanders is hearing
What Arizona Cardinals is hearing