Week 16 · NFL

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Dallas Cowboys prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Dallas Cowboys a 63% chance to beat Jacksonville Jaguars in this NFL matchup. Updated August 4, 2026.

#17 AFC South

Jacksonville Jaguars

43% to make the playoffs

@

#10 NFC East

Dallas Cowboys

49% to make the playoffs

The model's read

SpreadDallas Cowboys −4.5Model
Projected scoreJacksonville Jaguars 20 — Dallas Cowboys 24

Dallas Cowboys is the pick by 4.5, but it's live — 63% on the model.

Chaos meter74 · LIVE
74/ 100
CalmMayhem

Jacksonville Jaguars

37%

to win

Dallas Cowboys

63%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Jacksonville Jaguars
vs
Dallas Cowboys
#14Offense · EPA/play#5
#3Defense · EPA/play#32
#15Success rate#6

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

7 meetings since 1999

Jacksonville Jaguars leads 4–3

Last met 2022 · Jacksonville Jaguars 40–34 Dallas Cowboys— Jacksonville Jaguars won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Jacksonville Jaguars is hearing

What Dallas Cowboys is hearing

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