Week 16 · NFL

New York Giants vs Detroit Lions prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Detroit Lions a 71% chance to beat New York Giants in this NFL matchup. Updated August 4, 2026.

#22 NFC East

New York Giants

12% to make the playoffs

@

#9 NFC North

Detroit Lions

69% to make the playoffs

The model's read

SpreadDetroit Lions −7.5Model
Projected scoreNew York Giants 18Detroit Lions 26

Detroit Lions is the pick by 7.5, but it's live — 71% on the model.

Chaos meter58 · LIVE
58/ 100
CalmMayhem

New York Giants

29%

to win

Detroit Lions

71%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
New York Giants
vs
Detroit Lions
#17Offense · EPA/play#7
#25Defense · EPA/play#14
#25Success rate#12

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

11 meetings since 1999

Detroit Lions leads 7–4

Last met 2025 · Detroit Lions 3427 New York GiantsDetroit Lions won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What New York Giants is hearing

What Detroit Lions is hearing

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