Week 17 · NFL

Denver Broncos vs New England Patriots prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives New England Patriots a 57% chance to beat Denver Broncos in this NFL matchup. Updated August 4, 2026.

#14 AFC West

Denver Broncos

63% to make the playoffs

@

#15 AFC East

New England Patriots

63% to make the playoffs

The model's read

SpreadNew England Patriots −2.5Model
Projected scoreDenver Broncos 21 — New England Patriots 23

A coin flip. The model nudges New England Patriots by a field goal — 57% to win.

Chaos meter85 · TOSS-UP
85/ 100
CalmMayhem

Denver Broncos

43%

to win

New England Patriots

57%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Denver Broncos
vs
New England Patriots
#10Offense · EPA/play#1
#6Defense · EPA/play#11
#16Success rate#3

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

23 meetings since 1999

New England Patriots leads 13–10

Last met 2025 · Denver Broncos 7–10 New England Patriots— New England Patriots won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Denver Broncos is hearing

What New England Patriots is hearing

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