Week 18 · NFL

Los Angeles Chargers vs Denver Broncos prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Denver Broncos a 54% chance to beat Los Angeles Chargers in this NFL matchup. Updated August 4, 2026.

#11 AFC West

Los Angeles Chargers

67% to make the playoffs

@

#14 AFC West

Denver Broncos

63% to make the playoffs

The model's read

SpreadDenver Broncos −1.5Model
Projected scoreLos Angeles Chargers 21 — Denver Broncos 23

A coin flip. The model nudges Denver Broncos by a field goal — 54% to win.

Chaos meter91 · TOSS-UP
91/ 100
CalmMayhem

Los Angeles Chargers

46%

to win

Denver Broncos

54%

to win

Who wins?

Be the first

Tap a team to call it — then see if the crowd agrees with the model.

Think you know better?

Pick this game against the spread

Make your pick →

Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Los Angeles Chargers
vs
Denver Broncos
#25Offense · EPA/play#10
#7Defense · EPA/play#6
#19Success rate#16

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

55 meetings since 1999

Denver Broncos leads 32–23

Last met 2025 · Denver Broncos 19–3 Los Angeles Chargers— Denver Broncos won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Los Angeles Chargers is hearing

What Denver Broncos is hearing

Get The Drop

One email on Tuesdays: the week's biggest swings, and a straight accounting of the calls we missed.

No spam, no selling your address. One click to leave.