Week 18 · NFL

New York Jets vs Buffalo Bills prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Buffalo Bills a 84% chance to beat New York Jets in this NFL matchup. Updated August 4, 2026.

#30 AFC East

New York Jets

4% to make the playoffs

@

#5 AFC East

Buffalo Bills

85% to make the playoffs

The model's read

SpreadBuffalo Bills −13.5Model
Projected scoreNew York Jets 15 — Buffalo Bills 29

Buffalo Bills should handle it: 13.5-point edge, 84% to win.

Chaos meter32 · LEAN
32/ 100
CalmMayhem

New York Jets

16%

to win

Buffalo Bills

84%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
New York Jets
vs
Buffalo Bills
#29Offense · EPA/play#3
#31Defense · EPA/play#13
#29Success rate#2

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

54 meetings since 1999

Buffalo Bills leads 29–25

Last met 2025 · Buffalo Bills 35–8 New York Jets— Buffalo Bills won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What New York Jets is hearing

What Buffalo Bills is hearing

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