Week 11 · College Football

Louisville vs North Carolina prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Louisville a 64% chance to beat North Carolina in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#39 Atlantic Coast Conference

Louisville

13% to make the 12

@

#83 Atlantic Coast Conference

North Carolina

2% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadLouisville −5.5Model
Projected scoreLouisville 29 — North Carolina 23

Louisville is the pick by 5.5, but it's live — 64% on the model.

Chaos meter72 · LIVE
72/ 100
CalmMayhem

Louisville

64%

to win

North Carolina

36%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Louisville
vs
North Carolina
#82Offense · EPA/play#122
#21Defense · EPA/play#64
#97Explosiveness#116
#37Success rate#112
46%Returning production16%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

8 meetings all-time

Louisville leads 5–3

Last met 2017 · North Carolina 35–47 Louisville— Louisville won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Louisville is hearing

What North Carolina is hearing

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