Week 9 · College Football

Miami vs North Carolina prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Miami a 91% chance to beat North Carolina in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#6 Atlantic Coast Conference

Miami

57% to make the 12

@

#83 Atlantic Coast Conference

North Carolina

2% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadMiami −20.5Model
Projected scoreMiami 36 — North Carolina 16

Miami is a heavy favorite — 91% in the model. Upset alert if it's close.

Chaos meter18 · CHALK
18/ 100
CalmMayhem

Miami

91%

to win

North Carolina

9%

to win

Who wins?

Be the first

Tap a team to call it — then see if the crowd agrees with the model.

Think you know better?

Pick this game against the spread

Make your pick →

Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Miami
vs
North Carolina
#32Offense · EPA/play#122
#12Defense · EPA/play#64
#120Explosiveness#116
#20Success rate#112
13%Returning production16%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

27 meetings all-time

North Carolina leads 16–11

Last met 2023 · North Carolina 41–31 Miami— North Carolina won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Miami is hearing

What North Carolina is hearing

Get The Drop

One email on Tuesdays: the week's biggest swings, and a straight accounting of the calls we missed.

No spam, no selling your address. One click to leave.