Week 13 · College Football

NC State vs North Carolina prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives NC State a 54% chance to beat North Carolina in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#51 Atlantic Coast Conference

NC State

11% to make the 12

@

#83 Atlantic Coast Conference

North Carolina

2% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadNC State −1.5Vegas
Projected scoreNC State 27North Carolina 25

A coin flip. The model nudges NC State by a field goal — 54% to win.

Chaos meter92 · TOSS-UP
92/ 100
CalmMayhem

NC State

54%

to win

North Carolina

46%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
NC State
vs
North Carolina
#27Offense · EPA/play#122
#92Defense · EPA/play#64
#9Explosiveness#116
#67Success rate#112
95%Returning production16%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

106 meetings all-time

North Carolina leads 60–41–5

Last met 2025 · NC State 4219 North CarolinaNC State won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What NC State is hearing

What North Carolina is hearing

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