Week 5 · College Football

Notre Dame vs North Carolina prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Notre Dame a 94% chance to beat North Carolina in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#1 FBS Independent

Notre Dame

82% to make the 12

@

#83 Atlantic Coast Conference

North Carolina

2% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadNotre Dame −23.5Vegas
Projected scoreNotre Dame 38 — North Carolina 14

Notre Dame is a heavy favorite — 94% in the model. Upset alert if it's close.

Chaos meter13 · CHALK
13/ 100
CalmMayhem

Notre Dame

94%

to win

North Carolina

6%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Notre Dame
vs
North Carolina
#6Offense · EPA/play#122
#9Defense · EPA/play#64
#1Explosiveness#116
#24Success rate#112
37%Returning production16%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

23 meetings all-time

Notre Dame leads 21–2

Last met 2022 · North Carolina 32–45 Notre Dame— Notre Dame won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Notre Dame is hearing

What North Carolina is hearing

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