Week 6 · College Football

Ball State vs Northwestern prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Northwestern a 95% chance to beat Ball State in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#136 Mid-American Conference

Ball State

0% to make the 12

@

#45 Big Ten Conference

Northwestern

3% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadNorthwestern −25.5Model
Projected scoreBall State 13Northwestern 39

Northwestern is a heavy favorite — 95% in the model. Upset alert if it's close.

Chaos meter10 · CHALK
10/ 100
CalmMayhem

Ball State

5%

to win

Northwestern

95%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Ball State
vs
Northwestern
#133Offense · EPA/play#84
#87Defense · EPA/play#80
#29Explosiveness#110
#136Success rate#60
8%Returning production68%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

1 meeting all-time

Northwestern leads 1–0

Last met 2015 · Northwestern 2419 Ball StateNorthwestern won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Ball State is hearing

What Northwestern is hearing

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