Week 3 · College Football

Michigan State vs Notre Dame prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Notre Dame a 99% chance to beat Michigan State in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#61 Big Ten Conference

Michigan State

2% to make the 12

@

#1 FBS Independent

Notre Dame

82% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadNotre Dame −33.5Model
Projected scoreMichigan State 9 — Notre Dame 43

Notre Dame is a heavy favorite — 99% in the model. Upset alert if it's close.

Chaos meter3 · CHALK
3/ 100
CalmMayhem

Michigan State

1%

to win

Notre Dame

99%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Michigan State
vs
Notre Dame
#90Offense · EPA/play#6
#102Defense · EPA/play#9
#99Explosiveness#1
#72Success rate#24
69%Returning production37%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

73 meetings all-time

Notre Dame leads 44–28–1

Last met 2017 · Michigan State 18–38 Notre Dame— Notre Dame won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Michigan State is hearing

What Notre Dame is hearing

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