Week 12 · College Football

Ball State vs Ohio prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Ohio a 81% chance to beat Ball State in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#136 Mid-American Conference

Ball State

0% to make the 12

@

#107 Mid-American Conference

Ohio

0% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadOhio −13.5Model
Projected scoreBall State 19 — Ohio 33

Ohio should handle it: 13.5-point edge, 81% to win.

Chaos meter38 · LEAN
38/ 100
CalmMayhem

Ball State

19%

to win

Ohio

81%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Ball State
vs
Ohio
#133Offense · EPA/play#40
#87Defense · EPA/play#57
#29Explosiveness#80
#136Success rate#40
8%Returning production65%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

29 meetings all-time

Ball State leads 16–13

Last met 2025 · Ball State 20–14 Ohio— Ball State won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Ball State is hearing

What Ohio is hearing

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