#107 Mid-American Conference

Ohio

Projected 7–5 · 7 proj. wins

Playoff:OUT

Updated Aug 30, 2026 · model record 83% on 6 graded calls →

Call the season

How many games does Ohio win? The Ninjas project 7.

Tap a number to call it — then see how you stack up against the Ninjas.

Playoff

<1%

Title

<1%

Win conf

SOS

#127

Schedule & outlook

Full schedule + record projection →

W1@ Nebraska11%
W2vs Jax State53%
W3@ South Alabama41%
W4vs Stonehill89%
W5@ Kent State68%
W6vs C Michigan58%
W7@ Sacramento State81%
W8vs E Michigan67%
W10@ Akron56%
W11@ Miami (OH)30%
W12vs Ball State82%
W13vs Toledo49%

Chaos meter27 · CALM

CalmMayhem

Path to the playoff

Playoff odds →

LOCKWin out → in the field, no committee debate.
RISKLose to Nebraska → the margin for error vanishes.
CHAOSRun the table + upsets → the only way the door opens.

Full odds

Make the 12: <1%
16-team field: 1%
24-team field: 3%
Win conference: 9%
National title: <1%

Our playoff odds call · month by month

▲0

Pre 0% → 0%

Pre 0%Aug 0%

Up next

@ Nebraska· W111% WIN

Matchup preview & buzz →

Last season

2025 · via CFBD

Where Ohio finished a year ago — the foundation the 2026 outlook is built on.

SP+ rating

#84

-4 · off #98 / def #61

Talent composite

#126

247 blue-chip composite

Recruiting class

#121

2025 signing class

Returning prod.

65%

of offensive production

Efficiency

2025 · national rank

Offense#98

EPA / play#40
Success rate#40
Explosiveness#80

Defense#61

EPA / play#57
Success rate#62

The big number is opponent-adjusted SP+ offense/defense; the splits underneath are per-play efficiency — the same signals that feed the 2026 model. Lower rank is better.

Offseason moves

2026 portal · via CFBD

Portal in

3★ avg

Portal out

3★ avg

Net

in − out

Scholarship players in and out of the transfer portal for 2026, with average recruiting stars — a quick read on whether the roster got deeper or thinner. Star quality matters as much as the count.