Week 6 · College Football · Neutral site

Texas vs Oklahoma prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Texas a 66% chance to beat Oklahoma in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#5 Southeastern Conference

Texas

48% to make the 12

@

#12 Southeastern Conference

Oklahoma

22% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadTexas −6.5Vegas
Projected scoreTexas 29 — Oklahoma 23

Texas is the pick by 6.5, but it's live — 66% on the model.

Chaos meter67 · LIVE
67/ 100
CalmMayhem

Texas

66%

to win

Oklahoma

34%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Texas
vs
Oklahoma
#57Offense · EPA/play#100
#40Defense · EPA/play#4
#13Explosiveness#65
#94Success rate#97
28%Returning production53%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

118 meetings all-time

Texas leads 62–51–5

Last met 2025 · Texas 23–6 Oklahoma (neutral)— Texas won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Texas is hearing

What Oklahoma is hearing

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