Week 3 · College Football

East Carolina vs Old Dominion prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Old Dominion a 61% chance to beat East Carolina in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#54 American Athletic Conference

East Carolina

2% to make the 12

@

#53 Sun Belt Conference

Old Dominion

5% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadOld Dominion −4.5Model
Projected scoreEast Carolina 24 — Old Dominion 28

Old Dominion is the pick by 4.5, but it's live — 61% on the model.

Chaos meter77 · LIVE
77/ 100
CalmMayhem

East Carolina

39%

to win

Old Dominion

61%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
East Carolina
vs
Old Dominion
#49Offense · EPA/play#28
#16Defense · EPA/play#8
#118Explosiveness#47
#30Success rate#34
51%Returning production74%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

5 meetings all-time

East Carolina leads 5–0

Last met 2024 · Old Dominion 14–20 East Carolina— East Carolina won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What East Carolina is hearing

What Old Dominion is hearing

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