Week 1 · College Football
Boise State vs Oregon prediction
The TailgateNinjas model gives Oregon a 94% chance to beat Boise State in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.
#44 Mountain West Conference
Boise State
3% to make the 12
#3 Big Ten Conference
Oregon
65% to make the 12
The model's read
Oregon is a heavy favorite — 94% in the model. Upset alert if it's close.
Boise State
6%
to win
Oregon
94%
to win
Who wins?
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Tale of the tape
2025 efficiency · ranksBoise StateOregonNational ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.
Series history
4 meetings all-timeBoise State leads 3–1
Last met 2024 · Oregon 37–34 Boise State— Oregon won
Both sidelines
via Google NewsWhat Boise State is hearing
What Oregon is hearing
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