Week 11 · College Football

Michigan vs Oregon prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Oregon a 81% chance to beat Michigan in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#7 Big Ten Conference

Michigan

31% to make the 12

#3 Big Ten Conference

Oregon

65% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadOregon −13.5Vegas

Projected scoreMichigan 19 — Oregon 33

Oregon should handle it: 13.5-point edge, 81% to win.

Chaos meter38 · LEAN

38/ 100

CalmMayhem

Michigan

19%

to win

Oregon

81%

to win

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2025 efficiency · ranks

Michigan

Oregon

#47Offense · EPA/play#12

#52Defense · EPA/play#13

#129Explosiveness#20

#33Success rate#16

40%Returning production19%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

6 meetings all-time

All square 3–3

Last met 2024 · Michigan 17–38 Oregon— Oregon won

via Google News

What Michigan is hearing

What Oregon is hearing

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