Week 13 · College Football

Washington vs Oregon prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Oregon a 84% chance to beat Washington in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#19 Big Ten Conference

Washington

17% to make the 12

@

#3 Big Ten Conference

Oregon

65% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadOregon −15.5Vegas
Projected scoreWashington 18Oregon 34

Oregon should handle it: 15.5-point edge, 84% to win.

Chaos meter31 · LEAN
31/ 100
CalmMayhem

Washington

16%

to win

Oregon

84%

to win

Who wins?

Be the first

Tap a team to call it — then see if the crowd agrees with the model.

Think you know better?

Pick this game against the spread

Make your pick →

Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Washington
vs
Oregon
#19Offense · EPA/play#12
#19Defense · EPA/play#13
#53Explosiveness#20
#10Success rate#16
42%Returning production19%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

106 meetings all-time

Washington leads 56–46–4

Last met 2025 · Washington 1426 OregonOregon won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Washington is hearing

What Oregon is hearing

Get The Drop

One email on Tuesdays: the week's biggest swings, and a straight accounting of the calls we missed.

No spam, no selling your address. One click to leave.