Week 3 · College Football
Buffalo vs Penn State prediction
The TailgateNinjas model gives Penn State a 96% chance to beat Buffalo in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.
#114 Mid-American Conference
Buffalo
0% to make the 12
#16 Big Ten Conference
Penn State
25% to make the 12
The model's read
Penn State is a heavy favorite — 96% in the model. Upset alert if it's close.
Buffalo
4%
to win
Penn State
96%
to win
Who wins?
Be the firstTap a team to call it — then see if the crowd agrees with the model.
Think you know better?
Pick this game against the spread
Tale of the tape
2025 efficiency · ranksBuffaloPenn StateNational ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.
Series history
4 meetings all-timePenn State leads 3–1
Last met 2019 · Penn State 45–13 Buffalo— Penn State won
Both sidelines
via Google NewsWhat Buffalo is hearing
What Penn State is hearing
Get The Drop
One email on Tuesdays: the week's biggest swings, and a straight accounting of the calls we missed.
No spam, no selling your address. One click to leave.