Week 1 · College Football

Marshall vs Penn State prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Penn State a 94% chance to beat Marshall in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#69 Sun Belt Conference

Marshall

1% to make the 12

@

#16 Big Ten Conference

Penn State

25% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadPenn State −24.5Vegas
Projected scoreMarshall 14Penn State 38

Penn State is a heavy favorite — 94% in the model. Upset alert if it's close.

Chaos meter11 · CHALK
11/ 100
CalmMayhem

Marshall

6%

to win

Penn State

94%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Marshall
vs
Penn State
#72Offense · EPA/play#30
#73Defense · EPA/play#46
#130Explosiveness#101
#49Success rate#25
100%Returning production56%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

2 meetings all-time

Penn State leads 2–0

Last met 1930 · Penn State 650 MarshallPenn State won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Marshall is hearing

What Penn State is hearing

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