Week 11 · College Football

Minnesota vs Penn State prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Penn State a 77% chance to beat Minnesota in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#50 Big Ten Conference

Minnesota

5% to make the 12

@

#16 Big Ten Conference

Penn State

25% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadPenn State −11.5Model
Projected scoreMinnesota 20 — Penn State 32

Penn State should handle it: 11.5-point edge, 77% to win.

Chaos meter46 · LEAN
46/ 100
CalmMayhem

Minnesota

23%

to win

Penn State

77%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Minnesota
vs
Penn State
#105Offense · EPA/play#30
#69Defense · EPA/play#46
#125Explosiveness#101
#102Success rate#25
44%Returning production56%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

17 meetings all-time

Penn State leads 11–6

Last met 2024 · Minnesota 25–26 Penn State— Penn State won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Minnesota is hearing

What Penn State is hearing

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