Week 9 · College Football

Purdue vs Penn State prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Penn State a 88% chance to beat Purdue in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#89 Big Ten Conference

Purdue

1% to make the 12

@

#16 Big Ten Conference

Penn State

25% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadPenn State −18.5Model
Projected scorePurdue 17 — Penn State 35

Penn State is a heavy favorite — 88% in the model. Upset alert if it's close.

Chaos meter23 · CHALK
23/ 100
CalmMayhem

Purdue

12%

to win

Penn State

88%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Purdue
vs
Penn State
#107Offense · EPA/play#30
#132Defense · EPA/play#46
#77Explosiveness#101
#73Success rate#25
54%Returning production56%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

21 meetings all-time

Penn State leads 17–3–1

Last met 2024 · Purdue 10–49 Penn State— Penn State won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Purdue is hearing

What Penn State is hearing

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