Week 12 · College Football

Rutgers vs Penn State prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Penn State a 86% chance to beat Rutgers in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#79 Big Ten Conference

Rutgers

3% to make the 12

@

#16 Big Ten Conference

Penn State

25% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadPenn State −16.5Model
Projected scoreRutgers 18Penn State 34

Penn State should handle it: 16.5-point edge, 86% to win.

Chaos meter28 · LEAN
28/ 100
CalmMayhem

Rutgers

14%

to win

Penn State

86%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Rutgers
vs
Penn State
#36Offense · EPA/play#30
#134Defense · EPA/play#46
#81Explosiveness#101
#26Success rate#25
67%Returning production56%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

35 meetings all-time

Penn State leads 33–2

Last met 2025 · Rutgers 3640 Penn StatePenn State won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Rutgers is hearing

What Penn State is hearing

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