#79 Big Ten Conference

Rutgers

Projected 5–7 · 5 proj. wins

Playoff:OUT

Updated Aug 30, 2026 · model record 83% on 6 graded calls →

Call the season

How many games does Rutgers win? The Ninjas project 5.

Tap a number to call it — then see how you stack up against the Ninjas.

Playoff

Title

<1%

Win conf

<1%

SOS

#40

Schedule & outlook

Full schedule + record projection →

W1vs UMass88%
W2@ Boston College53%
W3vs USC13%
W4vs Howard95%
W5vs Indiana6%
W7@ Maryland43%
W8@ Northwestern28%
W9vs Michigan13%
W10@ Wisconsin26%
W11vs Nebraska33%
W12@ Penn State13%
W13vs Michigan State50%

Chaos meter21 · CALM

CalmMayhem

Path to the playoff

Playoff odds →

LOCKWin out → in the field, no committee debate.
RISKLose to Indiana → the margin for error vanishes.
CHAOSRun the table + upsets → the only way the door opens.

Full odds

Make the 12: 3%
16-team field: 4%
24-team field: 8%
Win conference: <1%
National title: <1%

Our playoff odds call · month by month

▲0

Pre 3% → 3%

Pre 3%Aug 3%

Up next

vs UMass· W188% WIN

Matchup preview & buzz →

Last season

2025 · via CFBD

Where Rutgers finished a year ago — the foundation the 2026 outlook is built on.

SP+ rating

#72

+1 · off #39 / def #95

Talent composite

#53

247 blue-chip composite

Recruiting class

#33

2025 signing class

Returning prod.

67%

of offensive production

Efficiency

2025 · national rank

Offense#39

EPA / play#36
Success rate#26
Explosiveness#81

Defense#95

EPA / play#134
Success rate#128

The big number is opponent-adjusted SP+ offense/defense; the splits underneath are per-play efficiency — the same signals that feed the 2026 model. Lower rank is better.

Offseason moves

2026 portal · via CFBD

Portal in

3★ avg

Portal out

3.1★ avg

Net

in − out

Scholarship players in and out of the transfer portal for 2026, with average recruiting stars — a quick read on whether the roster got deeper or thinner. Star quality matters as much as the count.