Week 4 · College Football

Wisconsin vs Penn State prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Penn State a 73% chance to beat Wisconsin in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#41 Big Ten Conference

Wisconsin

7% to make the 12

@

#16 Big Ten Conference

Penn State

25% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadPenn State −9.5Model
Projected scoreWisconsin 21 — Penn State 31

Penn State is the pick by 9.5, but it's live — 73% on the model.

Chaos meter54 · LIVE
54/ 100
CalmMayhem

Wisconsin

27%

to win

Penn State

73%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Wisconsin
vs
Penn State
#130Offense · EPA/play#30
#82Defense · EPA/play#46
#103Explosiveness#101
#122Success rate#25
40%Returning production56%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

21 meetings all-time

Penn State leads 12–9

Last met 2024 · Wisconsin 13–28 Penn State— Penn State won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Wisconsin is hearing

What Penn State is hearing

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