#41 Big Ten Conference

Wisconsin

Projected 6–6 · 6 proj. wins

Playoff:OUT

Updated Aug 30, 2026 · model record 83% on 6 graded calls →

Call the season

How many games does Wisconsin win? The Ninjas project 6.

Tap a number to call it — then see how you stack up against the Ninjas.

Playoff

Title

<1%

Win conf

SOS

#33

Schedule & outlook

Full schedule + record projection →

W1vs Notre Dame4%
W2vs Western Illinois97%
W3vs E Michigan90%
W4@ Penn State24%
W5vs Michigan State68%
W7@ UCLA40%
W8vs USC24%
W9@ Iowa28%
W10vs Rutgers74%
W11@ Maryland62%
W12@ Purdue66%
W13vs Minnesota64%

Chaos meter33 · SIMMERING

CalmMayhem

Path to the playoff

Playoff odds →

LOCKWin out → in the field, no committee debate.
RISKLose to Notre Dame → the margin for error vanishes.
CHAOSRun the table + upsets → the only way the door opens.

Full odds

Make the 12: 7%
16-team field: 11%
24-team field: 19%
Win conference: 1%
National title: <1%

Our playoff odds call · month by month

▲0

Pre 7% → 7%

Pre 7%Aug 7%

Up next

vs Notre Dame· W14% WIN

Matchup preview & buzz →

Last season

2025 · via CFBD

Where Wisconsin finished a year ago — the foundation the 2026 outlook is built on.

SP+ rating

#85

-4.4 · off #122 / def #34

Talent composite

#28

247 blue-chip composite

Recruiting class

#27

2025 signing class

Returning prod.

40%

of offensive production

Efficiency

2025 · national rank

Offense#122

EPA / play#130
Success rate#122
Explosiveness#103

Defense#34

EPA / play#82
Success rate#115

The big number is opponent-adjusted SP+ offense/defense; the splits underneath are per-play efficiency — the same signals that feed the 2026 model. Lower rank is better.

Offseason moves

2026 portal · via CFBD

Portal in

3★ avg

Portal out

3★ avg

Net

in − out

Scholarship players in and out of the transfer portal for 2026, with average recruiting stars — a quick read on whether the roster got deeper or thinner. Star quality matters as much as the count.