Week 11 · College Football

Florida State vs Pittsburgh prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Pittsburgh a 56% chance to beat Florida State in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#36 Atlantic Coast Conference

Florida State

8% to make the 12

@

#38 Atlantic Coast Conference

Pittsburgh

11% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadPittsburgh −2.5Model
Projected scoreFlorida State 25Pittsburgh 27

A coin flip. The model nudges Pittsburgh by a field goal — 56% to win.

Chaos meter87 · TOSS-UP
87/ 100
CalmMayhem

Florida State

44%

to win

Pittsburgh

56%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Florida State
vs
Pittsburgh
#14Offense · EPA/play#62
#63Defense · EPA/play#27
#16Explosiveness#19
#17Success rate#99
13%Returning production75%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

12 meetings all-time

Pittsburgh leads 7–5

Last met 2025 · Florida State 3134 PittsburghPittsburgh won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Florida State is hearing

What Pittsburgh is hearing

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