Week 2 · College Football

UCF vs Pittsburgh prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Pittsburgh a 71% chance to beat UCF in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#73 Big 12 Conference

UCF

4% to make the 12

@

#38 Atlantic Coast Conference

Pittsburgh

11% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadPittsburgh −8.5Model
Projected scoreUCF 22 — Pittsburgh 30

Pittsburgh is the pick by 8.5, but it's live — 71% on the model.

Chaos meter58 · LIVE
58/ 100
CalmMayhem

UCF

29%

to win

Pittsburgh

71%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
UCF
vs
Pittsburgh
#83Offense · EPA/play#62
#53Defense · EPA/play#27
#11Explosiveness#19
#100Success rate#99
31%Returning production75%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

3 meetings all-time

Pittsburgh leads 2–1

Last met 2019 · Pittsburgh 35–34 UCF— Pittsburgh won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What UCF is hearing

What Pittsburgh is hearing

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