Week 13 · College Football

Michigan State vs Rutgers prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Rutgers a 51% chance to beat Michigan State in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#61 Big Ten Conference

Michigan State

2% to make the 12

@

#79 Big Ten Conference

Rutgers

3% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadRutgers −0.5Model
Projected scoreMichigan State 26 — Rutgers 26

A coin flip. The model nudges Rutgers by a field goal — 51% to win.

Chaos meter97 · TOSS-UP
97/ 100
CalmMayhem

Michigan State

49%

to win

Rutgers

51%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Michigan State
vs
Rutgers
#90Offense · EPA/play#36
#102Defense · EPA/play#134
#99Explosiveness#81
#72Success rate#26
69%Returning production67%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

16 meetings all-time

Michigan State leads 10–6

Last met 2024 · Michigan State 14–41 Rutgers— Rutgers won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Michigan State is hearing

What Rutgers is hearing

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