Week 7 · College Football
Fresno State vs San Diego State prediction
The TailgateNinjas model gives San Diego State a 59% chance to beat Fresno State in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.
#72 Mountain West Conference
Fresno State
2% to make the 12
#75 Mountain West Conference
San Diego State
2% to make the 12
The model's read
A coin flip. The model nudges San Diego State by a field goal — 59% to win.
Fresno State
41%
to win
San Diego State
59%
to win
Who wins?
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Pick this game against the spread
Tale of the tape
2025 efficiency · ranksFresno StateSan Diego StateNational ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.
Series history
32 meetings all-timeSan Diego State leads 19–13
Last met 2025 · Fresno State 0–23 San Diego State— San Diego State won
Both sidelines
via Google NewsWhat Fresno State is hearing
What San Diego State is hearing
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