Week 3 · College Football

James Madison vs San Diego State prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives James Madison a 61% chance to beat San Diego State in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#33 Sun Belt Conference

James Madison

9% to make the 12

@

#75 Mountain West Conference

San Diego State

2% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadJames Madison −4.5Model
Projected scoreJames Madison 28San Diego State 24

James Madison is the pick by 4.5, but it's live — 61% on the model.

Chaos meter77 · LIVE
77/ 100
CalmMayhem

James Madison

61%

to win

San Diego State

39%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
James Madison
vs
San Diego State
#31Offense · EPA/play#95
#6Defense · EPA/play#3
#37Explosiveness#107
#36Success rate#82
78%Returning production80%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Both sidelines

via Google News

What James Madison is hearing

What San Diego State is hearing

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