Week 5 · College Football
Texas St vs San Diego State prediction
The TailgateNinjas model gives San Diego State a 64% chance to beat Texas St in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.
#78 Sun Belt Conference
Texas St
1% to make the 12
#75 Mountain West Conference
San Diego State
2% to make the 12
The model's read
San Diego State is the pick by 5.5, but it's live — 64% on the model.
Texas St
36%
to win
San Diego State
64%
to win
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Tale of the tape
2025 efficiency · ranksTexas StSan Diego StateNational ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.
Both sidelines
via Google NewsWhat Texas St is hearing
What San Diego State is hearing
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