Week 11 · College Football

Utah State vs San Diego State prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives San Diego State a 71% chance to beat Utah State in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#97 Mountain West Conference

Utah State

0% to make the 12

@

#75 Mountain West Conference

San Diego State

2% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadSan Diego State −8.5Model
Projected scoreUtah State 22 — San Diego State 30

San Diego State is the pick by 8.5, but it's live — 71% on the model.

Chaos meter58 · LIVE
58/ 100
CalmMayhem

Utah State

29%

to win

San Diego State

71%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Utah State
vs
San Diego State
#42Offense · EPA/play#95
#101Defense · EPA/play#3
#17Explosiveness#107
#84Success rate#82
63%Returning production80%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

18 meetings all-time

San Diego State leads 13–5

Last met 2024 · Utah State 41–20 San Diego State— Utah State won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Utah State is hearing

What San Diego State is hearing

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